Friday, October 17, 2008

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on the speculators rollercoaster

was to have a barrel of crude oil (= 159 liters) for $ 67 in yesterday's afternoon. Than twelve weeks ago that the oil price climbed to 147 $ and was afraid that he would rise to 180 $. Iran, Venezuela, and certainly auch einige andere freuten sich schon auf "200 $".

Was lehrt uns die Preis-Achterbahn?

Im Juli waren die Verbraucher besorgt, ihnen würde die Energie unbezahlbar. Die Politik, stets um verbraucherfreundliches Image bestrebt, mahnte die Energiekonzerne zur Zurückhaltung, es fehle an Wettbewerb usw., aber der Staat verdient an jeglichem Preisanstieg mit und ist der "natürliche Feind" des Steuerzahlers.
Und die Opposition? Hier mal nur die LINKE beleuchtet, die seither mit der Forderung nach "Sozialtarifen" für Schlechterverdienende für sich Werbung macht. - Alle gingen davon aus, die Entwicklung sei unumkehrbar. Und jetzt rutschte der Preis auf die Hälfte. Damit haben nur wenige gerechnet, the government does not, the links do not, I do not. So really interesting to analyze this development.

"supply and demand regulate the price," that's the theory, and the "experts" in the dozens of talk shows discussed the price increase until July so that the oil was expensive, while economic growth in China, India and other emerging markets demand increases. So that the "experts" had undeniably right. And such trends, it would be if all political alternatives on the way to drastic energy savings, the drastic expansion of solar energy capacity.

But "demand" is very different from consumption and demand. Otherwise, would not the price of oil doubled within six months and now almost halved within four months again. The lion's share of the price makes that of speculation. - That the "experts" were trying (successfully) to cover up.
It would be worthwhile to remove these "experts" from future rounds of talks.

But even better would be to prohibit the market with "futures" so that the price again in the real market produce, so the ratio of real demand and real supply. Anyone who buys a product, it must pay and remove it.

"not possible", then "economic experts" claim. And yet it is possible, as is so much easier " forbidden, "is what would be undesirable out flowers. Therefore, it is a corporate crime.
It all depends on whether do the legislators what their duty>> laws would make, but as long as it allows the voters like that, the Bundestag Town / Hort of campaign events is ...

-msr->> discussion